0x8c571AD921578eA8aE80451ad2D534c18b50768e-1773696339362
0x8c571ad921578ea8ae80451ad2d534c18b50768e
- Realised P&L
- $-16.46
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 370
- Open portfolio
- $11.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded370
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Sociedad San Sebastian win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.590 | $5.90 | −$0.80 |
| Will Villarreal CF B win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.545 | $5.45 | −$0.15 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.554 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.85at 0.530Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?
- +$13.81at 0.420Will Leeds United win on 2026-07-30?
- +$13.44at 0.450Will Athletic Bilbao win on 2026-07-29?
- +$12.44at 0.270Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?
- +$11.49at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 09:50 | Will Real Sociedad San Sebastian win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 08-06 09:49 | Will Villarreal CF B win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 08-06 09:49 | Will Malaga CF win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 08-04 15:54 | Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.74 | $6.66 |
| 08-04 15:53 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 08-04 15:47 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.5544554296 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 15:59 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.6459627244 | $8.00 |
| 07-30 15:57 | Will Leeds United win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 15:55 | Will AS Monaco win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 15:53 | Will Malaga CF win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 15:59 | Will Athletic Bilbao win on 2026-07-29? | BUY | 0.4499999857 | $11.00 |
| 07-15 21:44 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999682 | $16.00 |
| 07-14 16:56 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4249999712 | $7.00 |
| 07-05 02:39 | Miami Marlins vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.18 | $0.92 |
| 07-04 21:01 | Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | SELL | 0.19 | $1.07 |