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Traders

hjw195299

0x8c5671a5aeb5028731151992d6b67b89eeae3ba4

Realised P&L
$-192.58
Volume
$39.5k
Markets traded
586
Open portfolio
$24.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded586
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 2? · Yes0.2500.205$20.50−$4.50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 2? · Yes0.0300.018$3.50−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 2? · Yes0.0050.004$0.90−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C or below on August 22? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00−$9.93
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 28? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00−$7.30
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 27? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 28? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 22? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$12.65
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 19? · No0.9800.000$0.00−$4.90
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 29? · Yes0.2870.000$0.00−$3.29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 26? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$0.62
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 26? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on October 17? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 12:30Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?SELL0.95$35.00
11-01 12:30Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?SELL0.951$9.51
11-01 12:30Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?SELL0.951$9.51
11-01 12:21Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?SELL0.9605254861$18.28
11-01 11:58Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.31$1.55
11-01 11:55Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?BUY0.28$1.40
11-01 11:52Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?BUY0.24$1.20
11-01 11:52Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.26$1.30
11-01 11:44Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.36$1.80
11-01 02:11Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 1?SELL0.22$11.00
11-01 02:07Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?BUY0.15$0.75
10-31 08:48Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31?SELL0.998$228.52
10-30 15:38Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31?BUY0.862$17.24
10-30 15:34Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31?BUY0.895$9.85
10-30 15:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31?BUY0.85475$17.09
Trader hjw195299 · PolyBot Pro