hjw195299
0x8c5671a5aeb5028731151992d6b67b89eeae3ba4
- Realised P&L
- $-192.58
- Volume
- $39.5k
- Markets traded
- 586
- Open portfolio
- $24.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded586
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.29at 0.209Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on July 25?
- +$143.93at 0.007Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 26?
- +$80.07at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?
- +$79.85at 0.467Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?
- +$76.85at 0.284Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.95 | $35.00 |
| 11-01 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.951 | $9.51 |
| 11-01 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.951 | $9.51 |
| 11-01 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.9605254861 | $18.28 |
| 11-01 11:58 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 11-01 11:55 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 11-01 11:52 | Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 11-01 11:52 | Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 11-01 11:44 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 11-01 02:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 02:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 10-31 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $228.52 |
| 10-30 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.862 | $17.24 |
| 10-30 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.895 | $9.85 |
| 10-30 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.85475 | $17.09 |