siren2
0x8c4ea12c04ebc84c4beeadd5ff64e2801c07ff92
- Realised P&L
- $346.04
- Volume
- $46.3k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $30.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$717.24at 0.402SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9?
- +$575.67at 0.262SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$418.63at 0.179SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 1?
- +$351.85at 0.570SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 16?
- +$314.54at 0.227SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 01:53 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.6099999943 | $39.93 |
| 10-12 18:59 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.83 |
| 10-12 18:57 | Solana Up or Down - October 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 18:56 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12? | BUY | 0.0638786247 | $1.63 |
| 10-12 18:50 | Solana Up or Down - October 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999513 | $4.88 |
| 10-12 18:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $3.78 |
| 10-12 18:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 10-12 18:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12? | SELL | 0.87 | $92.51 |
| 10-12 00:59 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12? | BUY | 0.2999999981 | $31.90 |
| 10-11 18:04 | Spread: Browns (-2.5) | BUY | 0.3699999782 | $5.59 |
| 10-11 17:39 | Spread: Packers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.239999999 | $19.84 |
| 10-11 17:38 | Spread: Packers (-13.5) | BUY | 0.5599999919 | $25.00 |
| 10-11 17:38 | Spread: Packers (-7.5) | BUY | 0.3799999982 | $25.00 |
| 10-09 15:26 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.062682531 | $24.06 |
| 10-09 03:05 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.2629280394 | $70.64 |