PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

siren2

0x8c4ea12c04ebc84c4beeadd5ff64e2801c07ff92

Realised P&L
$346.04
Volume
$46.3k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$30.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? · Down0.6100.465$30.44−$9.49
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 12? · Down0.1280.000$0.00−$176.78
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 16? · Up0.0460.000$0.00−$11.00
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Up0.1910.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Down0.1650.000$0.00−$25.00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25? · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$55.18
Solana Up or Down - August 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Spread: Packers (-7.5) · Bears0.3800.000$0.00−$25.00
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Down0.1430.000$0.00−$5.00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 10? · Down0.5310.000$0.00−$194.65
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14? · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$5.50
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 24? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$200.00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? · Up0.1090.000$0.00−$23.98
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? · Down0.2600.000$0.00−$67.30
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 01:53SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13?BUY0.6099999943$39.93
10-12 18:59SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?BUY0.06$1.83
10-12 18:57Solana Up or Down - October 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.219999978$2.00
10-12 18:56SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?BUY0.0638786247$1.63
10-12 18:50Solana Up or Down - October 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.5399999513$4.88
10-12 18:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.56$3.78
10-12 18:44SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?BUY0.13$13.00
10-12 18:44SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?SELL0.87$92.51
10-12 00:59SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?BUY0.2999999981$31.90
10-11 18:04Spread: Browns (-2.5)BUY0.3699999782$5.59
10-11 17:39Spread: Packers (-3.5)BUY0.239999999$19.84
10-11 17:38Spread: Packers (-13.5)BUY0.5599999919$25.00
10-11 17:38Spread: Packers (-7.5)BUY0.3799999982$25.00
10-09 15:26SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.062682531$24.06
10-09 03:05SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.2629280394$70.64