CejasDeVillano
0x8c4979f0581a3da32eab815206bdcbea244afbeb
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $398.8k
- Markets traded
- 969
- Open portfolio
- $570.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded969
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.403Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
- +$1.5kat 0.229Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
- +$253.68at 0.216Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9PM ET
- +$171.60at 0.285Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8AM ET
- +$171.60at 0.285Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 03:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 06-22 02:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $0.58 |
| 06-04 03:25 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0586671318 | $91.83 |
| 04-29 01:04 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $16.47 |
| 04-28 20:26 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $16.08 |
| 04-01 11:51 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0918400102 | $177.62 |
| 03-31 13:59 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.20 |
| 03-31 13:58 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $39.66 |
| 03-30 00:29 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999996 | $199.90 |
| 03-29 23:10 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999982 | $45.10 |
| 03-16 22:07 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0797262988 | $78.07 |
| 03-16 22:07 | Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1202404381 | $200.04 |
| 03-15 22:47 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1387429139 | $500.00 |
| 03-12 11:26 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0870281016 | $133.00 |
| 03-12 11:26 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999994 | $133.00 |