Stroopwafel0
0x8c497840656063d90b515d04dda41ce2554b812a
- Realised P&L
- $10.73
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $345.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.655 | $144.10 | −$3.30 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.835 | $108.55 | −$0.65 |
| Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.805 | $56.35 | +$1.05 |
| Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? · No | 0.632 | 0.560 | $36.96 | −$4.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.59at 0.885Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?
- +$8.33at 0.865Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of September 7 above $355?
- +$7.44at 0.748Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$2.73at 0.913Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
- +$2.28at 0.862Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:05 | Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.79 | $55.30 |
| 09-15 12:22 | Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.6318181818 | $41.70 |
| 09-15 09:25 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.84 | $109.20 |
| 09-15 08:44 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | SELL | 0.9 | $60.30 |
| 09-15 07:46 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.67 | $147.40 |
| 09-15 01:37 | Will Apple TV win the most Emmys? | SELL | 0.9763641429 | $136.69 |
| 09-14 20:28 | Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | SELL | 0.6348148148 | $85.70 |
| 09-14 13:21 | Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | BUY | 0.7325925926 | $98.90 |
| 09-13 11:43 | Will Apple TV win the most Emmys? | BUY | 0.88 | $123.20 |
| 09-13 00:02 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.76 | $31.16 |
| 09-12 13:25 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 09-11 14:36 | Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of September 7 above $355? | SELL | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 09-11 08:59 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.78 | $31.98 |
| 09-11 06:50 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $17.00 |
| 09-10 11:39 | Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of September 7 above $355? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |