PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Stroopwafel0

0x8c497840656063d90b515d04dda41ce2554b812a

Realised P&L
$10.73
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$345.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · Yes0.6700.655$144.10$3.30
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8400.835$108.55$0.65
Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7900.805$56.35+$1.05
Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? · No0.6320.560$36.96$4.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 13:05Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.79$55.30
09-15 12:22Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?BUY0.6318181818$41.70
09-15 09:25Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.84$109.20
09-15 08:44Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?SELL0.9$60.30
09-15 07:46Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.67$147.40
09-15 01:37Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?SELL0.9763641429$136.69
09-14 20:28Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?SELL0.6348148148$85.70
09-14 13:21Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?BUY0.7325925926$98.90
09-13 11:43Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?BUY0.88$123.20
09-13 00:02Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.76$31.16
09-12 13:25Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.9$45.00
09-11 14:36Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of September 7 above $355?SELL0.95$95.00
09-11 08:59Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.78$31.98
09-11 06:50Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?SELL0.68$17.00
09-10 11:39Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of September 7 above $355?BUY0.86$86.00