chidongxi
0x8c491ae243959d57ff41df75373ac14494e89872
- Realised P&L
- $-28.11
- Volume
- $26.7k
- Markets traded
- 562
- Open portfolio
- $9.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded562
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.95at 0.820Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?
- +$14.44at 0.991Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?
- +$4.05at 0.990Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28?
- +$2.19at 0.989Solana above $175 on February 28?
- +$1.77at 0.220Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 04:34 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 04:33 | Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.95 |
| 10-27 03:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $89.82 |
| 10-27 03:06 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $39.64 |
| 10-23 02:30 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $39.68 |
| 10-23 02:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 23? | BUY | 0.998999981 | $50.00 |
| 10-23 02:28 | Will Solana reach $190 in October? | SELL | 0.997 | $89.73 |
| 10-21 05:16 | Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90? | BUY | 0.9539999828 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 05:15 | Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.50 |
| 10-21 05:14 | Will Solana reach $190 in October? | BUY | 0.996 | $89.64 |
| 10-21 05:13 | Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.941 | $1.03 |
| 10-21 05:13 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 05:13 | Will XRP reach $3.20 in October? | SELL | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 10-21 05:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? | SELL | 0.991 | $79.28 |
| 10-18 14:33 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 18? | BUY | 0.9789999977 | $1.30 |