PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

chidongxi

0x8c491ae243959d57ff41df75373ac14494e89872

Realised P&L
$-28.11
Volume
$26.7k
Markets traded
562
Open portfolio
$9.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded562
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.6100.845$2.77+$0.77
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90? · Yes0.9540.973$2.04+$0.04
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? · Yes0.8000.890$1.45+$0.15
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8000.685$1.28−$0.22
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6200.705$1.14+$0.14
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9300.945$1.02+$0.02
XRP Up or Down on December 29? · Up0.7300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19? · No0.9940.000$0.00−$29.82
Ethereum Up or Down on July 31? · Up0.7300.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down on October 9? · Up0.4300.000$0.00−$1.00
XRP Up or Down on December 16? · Down0.8000.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down on April 29? · Up0.9000.000$0.00−$4.50
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 2? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? · Up0.8400.000$0.00−$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down on September 23? · Up0.7700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 04:34Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
10-29 04:33Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.88$0.95
10-27 03:08Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?BUY0.998$89.82
10-27 03:06Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.991$39.64
10-23 02:30Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.992$39.68
10-23 02:29Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 23?BUY0.998999981$50.00
10-23 02:28Will Solana reach $190 in October?SELL0.997$89.73
10-21 05:16Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90?BUY0.9539999828$2.00
10-21 05:15Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?BUY0.8$1.50
10-21 05:14Will Solana reach $190 in October?BUY0.996$89.64
10-21 05:13Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.941$1.03
10-21 05:13Will Xi meet with Takaichi by October 31, 2026?SELL0.992$2.00
10-21 05:13Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?SELL0.997$9.97
10-21 05:12Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?SELL0.991$79.28
10-18 14:33Ethereum Up or Down on October 18?BUY0.9789999977$1.30