MJMH
0x8c46657f0fd2cf5651ca06cdbc36ba8e2059be29
- Realised P&L
- $-30.0k
- Volume
- $900.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,155
- Open portfolio
- $178.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,155
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.665 | $89.33 | −$0.67 |
| Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.395 | $49.63 | +$0.63 |
| Will Ukraine vs. Hungary end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.315 | $39.38 | −$0.63 |
| Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.158Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-23?
- +$1.9kat 0.611Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?
- +$1.7kat 0.324Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?
- +$1.5kat 0.257Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-01?
- +$1.3kat 0.331Will Scotland win on 2025-10-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:46 | Will Ukraine vs. Hungary end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $40.00 |
| 10-05 13:45 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.3899999989 | $49.00 |
| 10-05 13:44 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6699999986 | $90.00 |
| 10-04 18:16 | Chiefs vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.6799999996 | $129.00 |
| 10-04 18:14 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $24.00 |
| 10-03 17:43 | Will Aston Villa WFC vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999992 | $25.00 |
| 10-03 17:43 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5199999965 | $47.00 |
| 10-03 15:43 | Will Estonia vs. Luxembourg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999991 | $23.00 |
| 10-03 15:43 | Will Belarus vs. San Marino end in a draw? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.50 |
| 10-03 15:42 | Will Manchester United WFC win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.999 | $232.32 |
| 10-03 15:38 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.5699999909 | $19.49 |
| 10-03 11:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 11:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | SELL | 0.82 | $30.68 |
| 10-03 11:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5010374414 | $18.75 |
| 10-03 11:33 | Will Manchester United WFC win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $100.00 |