Xcvhgsxc
0x8c4225dd7544f3f03eaa635cd81022b087b87d77
- Realised P&L
- $301.64
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 4? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.007 | $0.04 | −$0.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.95at 0.246Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?
- +$65.44at 0.910Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26 and 28 million views on day 2?
- +$36.34at 0.497Will MrBeast's latest video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 5?
- +$32.62at 0.367Will MrBeast's latest video get between 83 and 84 million views on week 1?
- +$27.46at 0.705Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:45 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.0 and 37.5 million views on day 4? | SELL | 0.56 | $27.29 |
| 09-15 22:42 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.0 and 37.5 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 09-14 09:36 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26 and 28 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 09-14 08:37 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26 and 28 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.89 | $70.92 |
| 09-14 06:13 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26 and 28 million views on day 2? | SELL | 0.9197652803 | $156.35 |
| 09-14 03:53 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26 and 28 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 09-14 03:36 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26 and 28 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 09-14 03:30 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26 and 28 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 09-14 03:30 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26 and 28 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 09-14 02:11 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26 and 28 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.69 | $20.70 |
| 09-14 01:48 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26 and 28 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 09-13 22:33 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26 and 28 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.48 | $14.40 |
| 09-13 22:30 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26 and 28 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 09-13 15:53 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 20 million or more views on day 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-13 07:12 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.6507346891 | $110.72 |