PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mkln

0x8c3e5fc310f9ed66fc025ce6a6919e51ecfc208d

Realised P&L
$517.98
Volume
$23.7k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$204.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration81.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0360.011$126.50$269.25
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.0280.012$51.88$68.12
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2760.140$25.33$24.67
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$59.99
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Austria? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$22.00
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 11:37US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0089999991$10.00
07-21 11:37US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.0219415432$40.00
07-07 19:15US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0169222999$50.00
07-07 19:15US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.032$80.00
07-07 19:14US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2763996186$50.00
07-07 19:13Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.035$4.73
07-02 19:15Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Austria?BUY0.1$22.00
07-02 19:14Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?BUY0.0787401575$50.00
06-20 08:33US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?BUY0.2987852748$22.00
06-14 22:52US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.91$239.47
06-14 22:52US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.726$983.00
06-12 08:09US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.1203846057$163.00
06-12 08:09US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3799999987$100.00