PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mkln

0x8c3e5fc310f9ed66fc025ce6a6919e51ecfc208d

Realised P&L
$-493.67
Volume
$48.7k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$337.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration81.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0260.029$215.35+$22.35
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.105$84.00$116.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0660.005$33.70$409.30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.1600.008$4.90$93.10
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$120.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$260.99
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$395.77
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$59.99
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Austria? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$22.00
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 13:07US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?BUY0.025$172.00
08-20 16:45US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?BUY0.05$21.00
08-12 10:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.16$98.00
08-12 10:42US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0598472098$200.00
08-12 10:42US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$100.00
08-12 10:35US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0599999995$100.00
08-12 10:35US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.017$100.00
08-12 10:35US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.06$93.00
08-12 10:35US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$100.00
08-04 13:43US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0418298199$161.00
07-21 11:37US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0089999991$10.00
07-21 11:37US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.0219415432$40.00
07-07 19:15US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0169222999$50.00
07-07 19:15US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.032$80.00
07-07 19:14US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2763996186$50.00