mkln
0x8c3e5fc310f9ed66fc025ce6a6919e51ecfc208d
- Realised P&L
- $-493.67
- Volume
- $48.7k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $337.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.029 | $215.35 | +$22.35 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.105 | $84.00 | −$116.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.005 | $33.70 | −$409.30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.008 | $4.90 | −$93.10 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$260.99 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$395.77 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.99 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Austria? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$820.00at 0.120US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$139.47at 0.380US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$51.63at 0.299US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 13:07 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $172.00 |
| 08-20 16:45 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $21.00 |
| 08-12 10:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $98.00 |
| 08-12 10:42 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0598472098 | $200.00 |
| 08-12 10:42 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 08-12 10:35 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $100.00 |
| 08-12 10:35 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $100.00 |
| 08-12 10:35 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $93.00 |
| 08-12 10:35 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 13:43 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0418298199 | $161.00 |
| 07-21 11:37 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0089999991 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 11:37 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0219415432 | $40.00 |
| 07-07 19:15 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0169222999 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 19:15 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $80.00 |
| 07-07 19:14 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2763996186 | $50.00 |