guodong6
0x8c3c7433743fef42541649c63021a66f06f854b1
- Realised P&L
- $87.29
- Volume
- $1.15M
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $554.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.68at 0.497United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$26.29at 0.890Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
- +$25.27at 0.893France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
- +$22.74at 0.989Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
- +$22.24at 0.926Will Ecuador reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 01:25 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.98 | $550.00 |
| 08-24 08:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-24 07:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.991 | $49.55 |
| 08-24 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.003 | $0.14 |
| 08-24 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.0040165846 | $10.17 |
| 08-24 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0391369193 | $101.00 |
| 08-24 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.0074880043 | $1.26 |
| 08-24 07:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.011 | $0.37 |
| 08-22 23:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 08-22 23:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.0153396663 | $1.26 |
| 08-22 03:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $48.45 |
| 08-22 03:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.996 | $50.80 |
| 08-21 07:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $100.98 |
| 08-20 23:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.9833529412 | $50.15 |
| 08-15 01:00 | Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |