PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

guodong6

0x8c3c7433743fef42541649c63021a66f06f854b1

Realised P&L
$87.29
Volume
$1.15M
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$554.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9800.980$549.72−$0.28
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$5.00−$4.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$0.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$0.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET · Down0.0010.000$0.00−$0.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET · Down0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.0050.000$0.00−$2.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET · Down0.0010.000$0.00−$0.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00−$17.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET · Down0.0010.000$0.00−$0.20
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$8.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET · Down0.0040.000$0.00−$1.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET · Down0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 01:25Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.98$550.00
08-24 08:27Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSELL0.001$0.10
08-24 07:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.991$49.55
08-24 07:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.003$0.14
08-24 07:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.0040165846$10.17
08-24 07:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.0391369193$101.00
08-24 07:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.0074880043$1.26
08-24 07:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.011$0.37
08-22 23:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.002$0.02
08-22 23:26Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.0153396663$1.26
08-22 03:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSELL0.95$48.45
08-22 03:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.996$50.80
08-21 07:22Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.99$100.98
08-20 23:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.9833529412$50.15
08-15 01:00Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$10.00