Crypto1Mark
0x8c38dbdb2c8e50dc12787f01f6ed031a058a83d0
- Realised P&L
- $-360.97
- Volume
- $374.5k
- Markets traded
- 427
- Open portfolio
- $183.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded427
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.034 | $183.59 | −$316.40 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.100US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.121Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
- +$1.3kat 0.613Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$1.2kat 0.433Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$1.2kat 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 22:05 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0931089059 | $400.00 |
| 10-19 21:45 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0844493899 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 20:25 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2149999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-19 14:08 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.035 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 21:52 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.97 | $1.7k |
| 07-18 21:14 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.3899999997 | $680.65 |
| 07-15 20:57 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $979.21 |
| 07-15 20:53 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.0078310467 | $137.47 |
| 07-15 20:46 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.2392500482 | $4.2k |
| 07-14 20:25 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.885 | $3.2k |
| 07-14 18:15 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3024999994 | $300.00 |
| 07-10 16:55 | Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 12:57 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6024999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-10 11:57 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6 | $1000.00 |
| 07-10 11:56 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.5725 | $2.4k |