Nickolay1987
0x8c34bb6c0ccb2c9696bdb8ab7b6a13209c6d0b3d
- Realised P&L
- $-269.59
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $101.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · Yes | 0.242 | 0.255 | $53.73 | +$2.73 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.055 | $31.38 | −$20.93 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.021 | $16.21 | −$30.79 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.12 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.87 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 2? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 09:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.08 | $9.00 |
| 09-14 09:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 09:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 05:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.1 | $33.31 |
| 09-14 05:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.209999999 | $14.00 |
| 09-12 15:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.0212095665 | $19.12 |
| 09-08 14:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.0559999999 | $13.87 |
| 09-08 14:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.0559999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 14:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.057 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 14:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.00 |
| 09-08 14:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 14:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 02:51 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September? | BUY | 0.0599999923 | $7.00 |
| 09-03 02:51 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 02:51 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |