PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8c30Ca6122d1ea8676C1b3f67d83825Ef52B15D6-1761219785345

0x8c30ca6122d1ea8676c1b3f67d83825ef52b15d6

Realised P&L
$-12.21
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$2.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.9500.823$0.87$0.13
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3370.105$0.67$1.48
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7780.185$0.48$1.52
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8300.185$0.22$0.78
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5000.025$0.05$0.95
Will Liv Boeree win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Andrew Robl win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12PM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET · Up0.6100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Chino Rheem win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-14 13:20Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9489999763$1.00
03-14 13:19Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099994391$1.00
03-14 13:19Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.53$0.73
03-14 13:19Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.06$0.13
01-18 12:44Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.64$0.86
01-18 12:44Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.55$0.95
01-03 14:47Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.859999914$1.00
01-03 14:47Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4699998778$1.00
01-03 14:47Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7199995392$1.00
01-03 14:46Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5799994896$1.00
01-03 14:46Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
01-03 14:46Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
01-03 14:45Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.95$1.00
01-03 14:43Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
01-03 14:43Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00