0x8c30Ca6122d1ea8676C1b3f67d83825Ef52B15D6-1761219785345
0x8c30ca6122d1ea8676c1b3f67d83825ef52b15d6
- Realised P&L
- $-12.21
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $2.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.96at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$0.96at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$0.82at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down on November 20?
- +$0.13at 0.960Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
- +$0.07at 0.965Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-14 13:20 | Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9489999763 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 13:19 | Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099994391 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 13:19 | Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $0.73 |
| 03-14 13:19 | Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.13 |
| 01-18 12:44 | Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $0.86 |
| 01-18 12:44 | Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.95 |
| 01-03 14:47 | Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:47 | Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:47 | Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199995392 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:46 | Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799994896 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:46 | Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:46 | Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:45 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:43 | Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:43 | Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |