Constantinopleus
0x8c30798001af8a485a46a22748d9ae70597c4f5a
- Realised P&L
- $236.08
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $5.65
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBO: SSG Landers vs. NC Dinos · SSG Landers | 0.500 | 0.487 | $5.65 | −$0.15 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries · Phoenix Mercury | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.10 |
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants · Lotte Giants | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.80 |
| MLP Dallas: Los Angeles Mad Drops vs Texas Ranchers · Texas Ranchers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.10 |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury · Phoenix Mercury | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.25 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx · Phoenix Mercury | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.05 |
| Cancun (Doubles): Alvarez/Magadan vs Heredia/Sharan · Heredia/Sharan | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.75 |
| US Open WTA (Doubles): Neel/Olmos vs Shibahara/Tararudee · Shibahara/Tararudee | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.85 |
| Solana Up or Down - November 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Down | 0.501 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Basket Zaragoza vs. CB Murcia · Basket Zaragoza | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.52 |
| Syria vs. Iraq · Iraq | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.35 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.70 |
| M25 Yinchuan: Yue Xia vs MINGLIANG YUE · MINGLIANG YUE | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.60 |
| MLP San Diego: Florida Smash vs Phoenix Flames · Florida Smash | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.30 |
| KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers · Kia Tigers | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.20at 0.510XRP Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
- +$40.00at 0.500Will Ras Baraka win the Newark mayoral election?
- +$37.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down - January 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
- +$34.88at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
- +$34.59at 0.510XRP Up or Down - December 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:59 | Kovalova Daria vs. Dronova Uliana | BUY | 0.5 | $10.55 |
| 09-06 02:21 | Rakuten Monkeys vs. TSG Hawks | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-04 02:55 | US Open WTA (Doubles): Neel/Olmos vs Shibahara/Tararudee | BUY | 0.5 | $4.85 |
| 08-14 02:36 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.5 | $5.95 |
| 08-07 01:45 | KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers | BUY | 0.5 | $9.30 |
| 08-05 02:25 | KBO: SSG Landers vs. NC Dinos | BUY | 0.5 | $5.80 |
| 08-03 09:23 | Metro Bank One Day Cup Women League 2: Middlesex Women vs Northamptonshire Women | BUY | 0.5 | $3.65 |
| 08-01 03:44 | JCL T10: Tigers CC vs Tokyo Dragons CC | BUY | 0.5 | $11.05 |
| 07-27 02:08 | German Super League Hamburg T10: Kummerfelder Sportverein vs VFB Fallersleben | BUY | 0.5 | $10.15 |
| 07-24 02:32 | JCL T10: Men In Blue CC vs Rising Stars CC | BUY | 0.5 | $9.15 |
| 07-20 02:13 | KBO: SSG Landers vs. Lotte Giants | BUY | 0.5 | $8.70 |
| 07-15 02:09 | Bunschoten: Jan Kumstat vs Florian Broska | BUY | 0.5 | $12.25 |
| 07-13 02:13 | MLP San Diego: Florida Smash vs Phoenix Flames | BUY | 0.5 | $7.30 |
| 07-10 02:36 | JCL T20: Tokyo Wombats CC vs Max CC | BUY | 0.5 | $9.90 |
| 07-06 04:03 | Wimbledon Juniors, Boys (Doubles): Neimanis/Todoran vs Camacho/Chen | BUY | 0.5 | $12.05 |