kimberly94
0x8c281e732e81ec93145f4489d3706ae66d427b2e
- Realised P&L
- $-13.23
- Volume
- $24.6k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $26.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.545 | $26.44 | +$1.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.83at 0.500Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
- +$5.71at 0.690Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
- +$0.29at 0.989Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
- +$0.23at 0.995Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
- +$0.22at 0.995Texans vs. Chiefs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:08 | Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.35 |
| 01-31 13:43 | Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9939999997 | $15.27 |
| 01-30 12:16 | Will Chainlink hit $23 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.92 |
| 01-30 12:09 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999314 | $9.35 |
| 01-30 12:05 | Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $26.17 |
| 01-30 12:02 | Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.70 |
| 12-30 14:49 | Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979998396 | $1.68 |
| 12-30 14:26 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.28 |
| 12-30 12:17 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9949999743 | $11.61 |
| 12-30 08:20 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.18 |
| 12-29 20:55 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999848 | $12.18 |
| 12-29 19:56 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.92 |
| 12-29 19:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999688 | $24.51 |
| 12-29 19:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.73 |
| 10-31 16:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.75 |