lisibeaker
0x8c23b126cea3cb0848ac68f36e2e5374f6a26229
- Realised P&L
- $-328.70
- Volume
- $27.7k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $20.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.405 | $20.25 | −$8.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Down | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Down | 0.484 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Up | 0.529 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Up | 0.529 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Down | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.35at 0.519Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$59.68at 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
- +$51.52at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
- +$46.40at 0.519Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$45.23at 0.498Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 07:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 01:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $5.67 |
| 08-06 00:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-06 00:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $5.88 |
| 08-06 00:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-05 23:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8399999944 | $5.95 |
| 08-05 23:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.82 | $5.74 |
| 08-05 23:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $5.34 |
| 08-05 23:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8499999904 | $4.45 |
| 08-05 22:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9099999921 | $4.60 |
| 08-05 07:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.14 |
| 08-05 07:03 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.116 | $6.17 |
| 08-05 02:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $1.44 |
| 08-05 02:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $5.46 |
| 08-05 02:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $6.24 |