pflopk1llercat
0x8c239111253121714dc4c94fc0e5e5ad4d6a729e
- Realised P&L
- $104.06
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $321.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29? · No | 0.580 | 0.675 | $101.25 | +$14.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29? · No | 0.580 | 0.410 | $61.50 | −$25.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30? · No | 0.602 | 0.575 | $57.50 | −$2.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29? · No | 0.560 | 0.550 | $55.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 29? · No | 0.575 | 0.615 | $30.75 | +$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30? · No | 0.590 | 0.605 | $15.13 | +$0.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28? · No | 0.585 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$87.67 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 28? · No | 0.555 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$55.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.09at 0.585Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28?
- +$41.96at 0.556Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-28 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $94.61 |