PolyBot

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Traders

Zephyrx1

0x8c1a4fa41cdd17d6d11684935546f1e27d172b32

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$110.0k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$64.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.655$32.75+$7.75
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.345$17.25−$7.75
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat? · Yes0.6600.979$9.79+$3.19
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? · No0.8500.465$4.65−$3.85
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · Yes0.6490.000$0.00−$32.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 15:46Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.6495208$32.48
07-19 05:35Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.9$18.00
07-09 14:22Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.84$16.80
07-02 06:45Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?BUY0.72$14.40
06-20 15:42Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?BUY0.83$16.60
06-11 09:27Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.82$16.40
06-09 02:02Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.1770555556$15.94
06-04 02:33Knicks vs. SpursSELL0.41$205.00
06-03 23:31Knicks vs. SpursSELL0.36$504.00
05-31 07:05Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.36$1.5k
05-31 00:33Spurs vs. ThunderBUY0.62$310.00
05-30 05:41Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFireBUY0.21$228.90
05-20 07:16Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.378$34.02
05-13 02:24Timberwolves vs. SpursBUY0.991$991.00
05-12 05:18Thunder vs. LakersBUY0.88$168.72