rinrin57
0x8c0fe13f55d82ad51fac7846448ad54c665bdc63
- Realised P&L
- $-75.51
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $399.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.545 | $92.65 | −$11.05 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.815 | $89.65 | −$1.65 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.310 | $62.00 | −$62.00 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.455 | $36.40 | +$0.40 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.720 | $36.00 | +$1.00 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.645 | $32.25 | +$0.75 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.320 | $32.00 | −$1.00 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.375 | $18.75 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.11at 0.654Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?
- +$-0.73at 0.756Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs
- +$-20.90at 0.450Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$-25.07at 0.420Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 08:27 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $12.10 |
| 06-19 13:06 | Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 04-11 16:56 | Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.79 | $38.31 |
| 04-11 16:55 | Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.79 | $114.92 |
| 04-11 16:55 | Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.78 | $10.12 |