CheloBolso
0x8c0d64b77c41c5718e75c5ae02763b633693f284
- Realised P&L
- $-626.93
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $378.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-45.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.927 | $117.41 | +$17.41 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No | 0.950 | 0.955 | $110.58 | +$0.58 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.945 | $102.72 | +$2.72 |
| Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.585 | 1.000 | $34.19 | +$14.19 |
| Real American Freestyle: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Colby Covington · Chimaev | 0.840 | 0.775 | $13.84 | −$1.16 |
| Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-10-25? · Yes | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.778 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$514.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.60at 0.680Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$-10.42at 0.167Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:25 | Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5847373608 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 19:19 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.71 | $52.20 |
| 10-24 18:06 | Real American Freestyle: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Colby Covington | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $15.00 |
| 10-24 02:27 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $50.00 |
| 10-24 02:26 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.9499999974 | $110.00 |
| 10-24 02:24 | Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.4976768445 | $100.00 |
| 10-24 02:21 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $100.00 |
| 10-24 02:20 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 10-24 02:19 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 02:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7779999998 | $500.00 |
| 10-23 21:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7669999793 | $14.00 |