0x8c09627284Fb9564aD62A37dB00F31332Fc001Aa-1771101565040
0x8c09627284fb9564ad62a37db00f31332fc001aa
- Realised P&L
- $-5.2k
- Volume
- $245.0k
- Markets traded
- 3,762
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,762
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.275 | $1.8k | −$226.76 |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.070 | $424.45 | −$242.54 |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.027 | $78.07 | −$54.93 |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.265 | $77.61 | +$1.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$409.95at 0.530Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$225.79at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$219.99at 0.377Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
- +$213.50at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$211.75at 0.552Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:18 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.11 | $22.31 |
| 09-15 10:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 10:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 10:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 08:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.9799999935 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 06:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 04:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 15:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 15:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9363482413 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 14:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |