PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8c09627284Fb9564aD62A37dB00F31332Fc001Aa-1771101565040

0x8c09627284fb9564ad62a37db00f31332fc001aa

Realised P&L
$-5.2k
Volume
$245.0k
Markets traded
3,762
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,762
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3100.275$1.8k$226.76
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.1100.070$424.45$242.54
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.0460.027$78.07$54.93
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.2600.265$77.61+$1.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 14:18Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.11$22.31
09-15 10:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETBUY0.95$100.00
09-15 10:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.99$100.00
09-15 10:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.98$100.00
09-15 09:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.0699999994$5.00
09-15 08:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.9799999935$100.00
09-15 06:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.0599999999$10.00
09-15 04:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETBUY0.98$100.00
09-15 01:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETBUY0.98$100.00
09-14 16:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.99$100.00
09-14 15:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.99$100.00
09-14 15:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.95$100.00
09-14 15:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.98$100.00
09-14 14:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.9363482413$100.00
09-14 14:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.99$100.00