PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ophirr

0x8c07fcf736c1ebb7be2d32cbe9113022d5313ccc

Realised P&L
$8.55
Volume
$436.68
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$42.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7? · Yes0.1800.195$10.83+$0.83
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26? · No0.2470.495$10.02+$5.02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 7? · Yes0.0620.043$6.96−$3.04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1260.123$4.88−$0.12
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0490.047$4.75−$0.25
Ballon d'Or 2026: Erling Haaland or Jude Bellingham to finish higher? · Bellingham0.3500.330$4.71−$0.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 21:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7?BUY0.1799999986$10.00
10-04 21:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 7?BUY0.0618253188$10.00
10-04 21:13Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.125999999$5.00
10-04 21:13Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0494477673$5.00
10-04 21:08Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?BUY0.2470355731$5.00
10-04 20:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.8$25.00
10-04 20:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.7299999007$5.00
10-04 09:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETBUY0.8399999933$5.00
10-04 09:45Ballon d'Or 2026: Erling Haaland or Jude Bellingham to finish higher?BUY0.3499999825$5.00