ads04
0x8c07f47d73a407d22e6290dd8f85d10fc8d3976d
- Realised P&L
- $188.88
- Volume
- $48.6k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $30.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11? · No | 0.975 | 0.981 | $30.17 | +$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.41at 0.470Lightning vs. Golden Knights
- +$3.57at 0.909Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$1.59at 0.951Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
- +$1.54at 0.600Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.39at 0.920Will Solana reach $210 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.975 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 11:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9931478899 | $33.80 |
| 10-03 01:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9819999988 | $33.40 |
| 09-29 04:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9789999998 | $32.90 |
| 09-28 01:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.99 | $32.60 |
| 09-27 14:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9919999794 | $32.40 |
| 09-25 08:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9809999995 | $32.00 |
| 09-18 11:38 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9779999881 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 03:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.995 | $30.00 |
| 09-12 06:11 | Will Solana reach $110 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9689999996 | $35.50 |
| 09-11 02:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.992 | $35.30 |
| 09-10 14:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 10? | BUY | 0.9889999997 | $34.90 |
| 09-09 15:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $34.70 |
| 09-09 02:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 8? | BUY | 0.992 | $34.50 |
| 09-08 15:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.9799999977 | $33.80 |