PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sokavik

0x8c00805a0f0d54cbdd2fa72d62233f58ca29f516

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$79.4k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$18.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? · Yes0.2040.115$18.07$13.98
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$0.06
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00$129.00
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025? · No0.1140.000$0.00$136.80
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October? · No0.2880.000$0.00$106.00
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00$51.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$24.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 04:10Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?BUY0.2039590366$32.05
02-26 09:02Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?BUY0.68$55.00
02-20 02:12Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?BUY0.75$51.00
02-20 02:09Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2699999956$31.00
02-16 06:53Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.3499999966$36.00
10-04 17:53Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.114$136.80
10-04 17:51Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?BUY0.2877369208$106.00
09-29 04:12Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.5999999995$230.00
09-29 04:08Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.3197070187$362.26
08-14 03:25Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.0529514604$60.00
08-14 03:23Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.14$62.80
07-24 20:06Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.2299998979$1.69
07-24 20:05Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.2365025543$25.02
07-24 20:04Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?SELL0.72$23.76
07-24 20:03Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.2385228318$80.01