gharialPollich1
0x8bf6e110394b8f13d53c135268dd1beb95865bca
- Realised P&L
- $3.19
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $5.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? · No | 0.955 | 0.991 | $2.69 | +$0.10 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.990 | $2.47 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.93at 0.620Timberwolves vs. Clippers
- +$2.31at 0.510Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?
- +$1.75at 0.740Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?
- +$1.53at 0.480Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?
- +$1.33at 0.780Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9549999963 | $2.59 |
| 09-15 18:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9939999992 | $2.48 |
| 09-08 14:49 | Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.984 | $2.86 |
| 09-04 23:56 | Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.9599996491 | $1.97 |
| 08-25 20:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.93 |
| 08-25 20:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9829999897 | $1.05 |
| 08-21 17:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | BUY | 0.9909999981 | $2.60 |
| 08-14 01:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 15? | BUY | 0.9899998388 | $1.72 |
| 07-07 17:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 9? | BUY | 0.9789999958 | $3.25 |
| 05-26 23:24 | Will United States win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? | BUY | 0.972 | $1.91 |
| 02-25 23:59 | Timberwolves vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.6199999844 | $4.78 |
| 02-25 23:58 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27? | BUY | 0.5199999524 | $3.06 |
| 02-19 08:38 | Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.78 | $4.73 |
| 02-19 08:38 | Will Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7599999399 | $2.53 |
| 02-11 01:36 | Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.3k |