PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8BF22eFE5b3F287345049F4e20e9615Db4F7ad73-1768701988485

0x8bf22efe5b3f287345049f4e20e9615db4f7ad73

Realised P&L
$-24.09
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$94.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Haiti win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4560.465$94.81+$1.86
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$5.30
Lakers vs. Clippers · Lakers0.0170.000$0.00−$6.10
Lakers vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - Zhi-Tech Elite Masters Playoffs · Chinggis Warriors0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25? · No0.0060.000$0.00−$1.00
Rockets vs. Pistons · Pistons0.6200.000$0.00−$10.81
Grizzlies vs. Rockets · Grizzlies0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 28? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 26? · No0.0250.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29? · Yes0.9770.000$0.00−$36.28
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs · GamerLegion0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Magic vs. Cavaliers · Magic0.4200.000$0.00−$2.00
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stage · Gen.G Global Academy0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 22:37Will Haiti win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4558801563$92.95
01-29 14:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?BUY0.9769999969$36.28
01-28 15:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 28?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
01-27 17:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 27?SELL0.999$11.10
01-27 15:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?SELL0.008$1.03
01-27 15:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?BUY0.015487518$2.00
01-27 14:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 27?BUY0.449999955$5.00
01-27 12:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 27?SELL0.42$9.13
01-27 04:40Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?BUY0.001$1.00
01-27 04:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 27?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
01-27 04:29Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?BUY0.0259730911$5.30
01-27 01:20Grizzlies vs. RocketsBUY0.1399998824$1.00
01-27 01:00Magic vs. CavaliersBUY0.4199999454$2.00
01-26 03:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 26?BUY0.025$3.00
01-26 03:01Rams vs. SeahawksSELL0.999$44.33