0x8BF22eFE5b3F287345049F4e20e9615Db4F7ad73-1768701988485
0x8bf22efe5b3f287345049f4e20e9615db4f7ad73
- Realised P&L
- $-24.09
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $94.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.48at 0.560Rams vs. Seahawks
- +$6.93at 0.590Cavaliers vs. Hornets
- +$6.10at 0.450Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 27?
- +$5.61at 0.640Lakers vs. Nuggets
- +$4.13at 0.230Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 22:37 | Will Haiti win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4558801563 | $92.95 |
| 01-29 14:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29? | BUY | 0.9769999969 | $36.28 |
| 01-28 15:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 28? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 01-27 17:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.10 |
| 01-27 15:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.03 |
| 01-27 15:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27? | BUY | 0.015487518 | $2.00 |
| 01-27 14:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 27? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 01-27 12:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 27? | SELL | 0.42 | $9.13 |
| 01-27 04:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-27 04:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 27? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 01-27 04:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.0259730911 | $5.30 |
| 01-27 01:20 | Grizzlies vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 01-27 01:00 | Magic vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 01-26 03:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 26? | BUY | 0.025 | $3.00 |
| 01-26 03:01 | Rams vs. Seahawks | SELL | 0.999 | $44.33 |