BTC75KSOON
0x8bf18d66acf75bb841f863a64137f7e89c3fb75e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $67.8k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $22.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.120 | $22.20 | −$11.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$354.38at 0.500Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$312.45at 0.198Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$190.03at 0.488Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$183.20at 0.463Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$130.31at 0.527Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 00:56 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $502.50 |
| 09-18 13:56 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $58.00 |
| 09-10 19:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.61 |
| 08-08 23:36 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999993 | $200.00 |
| 08-08 23:33 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.209999998 | $63.60 |
| 07-30 00:41 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $99.90 |
| 07-30 00:35 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999989 | $136.52 |
| 07-20 19:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $93.00 |
| 07-20 19:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.44694325 | $178.78 |
| 07-08 13:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8352784236 | $143.70 |
| 07-06 20:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999978 | $160.00 |
| 06-19 08:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.2k |
| 06-15 20:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? | BUY | 0.994 | $33.80 |
| 06-04 19:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $0.51 |
| 06-04 19:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $56.00 |