trillionz
0x8bdcc9ff802c75d4bb40deda2a3fec9cb018bfa4
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $36.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.920 | $2.2k | +$70.79 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.658 | 0.585 | $177.86 | −$22.14 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.081 | $66.19 | −$320.25 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.430 | $31.82 | +$2.22 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.372 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$514.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.769Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
- +$211.00at 0.876Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
- +$-676.83at 0.320Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 18:41 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4 | $29.60 |
| 09-01 18:40 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.1k |
| 09-01 18:35 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1108434559 | $346.94 |
| 07-09 22:06 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6281093904 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 12:44 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6904878393 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 12:42 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.354 | $2.1k |
| 07-04 20:15 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3719999997 | $672.52 |
| 07-04 20:15 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3719999996 | $1000.00 |
| 07-04 20:14 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.372 | $1000.00 |
| 05-28 03:10 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $12.80 |
| 03-10 14:13 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $742.99 |
| 03-10 14:12 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $254.21 |
| 03-10 14:11 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $174.00 |
| 02-24 20:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $248.84 |
| 10-10 15:38 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.8692548994 | $3.5k |