PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

honestly1

0x8bd74f75bc54794ad2510b597111cff96f861e8b

Realised P&L
$-453.32
Volume
$19.8k
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$1.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hollywood Smothers be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader? · Yes0.0790.019$1.60−$5.04
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in September? · No0.0200.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 20:12Will Fernando Mendoza win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?SELL0.06$1.20
09-23 14:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.37$74.00
09-23 13:12Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?SELL0.38$7.60
09-23 12:31Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.456$9.12
09-23 12:07Will Inter Milan reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?SELL0.74$21.46
09-23 12:05Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?SELL0.264$19.80
09-23 11:17Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.08$3.20
09-23 10:16Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?SELL0.69$13.11
09-23 07:18Will Australia win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?SELL0.23$17.25
09-23 04:37Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.38$28.50
09-23 04:37Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?SELL0.664$29.54
09-23 04:30Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.86$68.80
09-23 04:00Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?SELL0.8$50.40
09-23 02:50Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?SELL0.53$34.98
09-17 17:26Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?SELL0.019$2.66