PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8bd114f2bdbD1E089D7Ca555D311Cf6e67461FbB-1775088816371

0x8bd114f2bdbd1e089d7ca555d311cf6e67461fbb

Realised P&L
$-343.33
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$39.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.245$11.76−$0.24
Will Türkiye vs. Italy end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.265$9.46−$0.54
Will Romania win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.4200.395$9.40−$0.60
Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.255$8.50−$0.50
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$49.00
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-04-27? · Yes0.3470.000$0.00−$27.80
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$19.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$24.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No0.0190.000$0.00−$11.10
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$6.79
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$49.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$99.00
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$48.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 09:06Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?BUY0.2699999946$9.00
09-28 09:04Will Romania win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4199999966$10.00
09-28 09:03Will Türkiye vs. Italy end in a draw?BUY0.2799999978$10.00
09-28 09:03Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.25$12.00
09-27 17:55Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.6799999747$7.52
09-27 17:53Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.999$7.65
09-27 07:19Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.68999997$5.29
07-06 21:04Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3899999935$24.00
07-06 07:47Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.2699999938$25.00
07-05 22:09Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.32$49.00
07-04 07:38Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.1299999977$48.00
07-04 07:22Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.2899999962$49.00
07-03 23:30Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.5899999982$99.00
07-03 23:07Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY0.2199999777$7.50
07-03 03:24Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.1049999978$38.00