taliserpor
0x8bc595e6237fa9da2eceb9afd1dfc6a6a33f01d5
- Realised P&L
- $-205.88
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $53.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.933 | $25.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.987 | $20.55 | +$0.55 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.857 | 0.160 | $7.34 | −$31.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.65at 0.490Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?
- +$67.57at 0.509Solana above $130 on March 28?
- +$51.52at 0.660Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
- +$44.13at 0.620Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?
- +$40.91at 0.550Jets vs. Hurricanes
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 05:56 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599999654 | $20.00 |
| 08-12 05:55 | Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999985 | $25.00 |
| 08-09 14:19 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 4-10? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 05-09 13:20 | Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.8849999971 | $23.00 |
| 05-09 13:19 | Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9689999998 | $25.00 |
| 04-26 14:43 | Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9639999994 | $47.19 |
| 03-05 09:40 | Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9943046807 | $46.92 |
| 03-05 09:39 | Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $46.92 |
| 02-02 11:46 | Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999999 | $45.99 |
| 01-21 21:17 | Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $45.48 |
| 01-14 22:05 | Owlto FDV above $900M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9879999998 | $22.94 |
| 01-14 22:04 | Owlto FDV above $900M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9879999996 | $22.00 |
| 01-14 22:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.80 |
| 01-03 11:05 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January? | BUY | 0.5099999911 | $20.00 |
| 01-03 11:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |