LuckyChole
0x8bbe942498081a10fb587c1411d1122d2f6ab9dc
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $11.92M
- Markets traded
- 278
- Open portfolio
- $243.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded278
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.200Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$4.8kat 0.728US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
- +$4.7kat 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 23?
- +$3.8kat 0.744Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.710Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:52 | Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $99.30 |
| 09-13 02:39 | Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.8k |
| 08-27 01:48 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $97.20 |
| 08-24 04:21 | Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.973 | $379.47 |
| 08-22 04:47 | Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $9.8k |
| 08-21 13:06 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $389.97 |
| 08-17 04:13 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in August? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.0k |
| 08-14 06:14 | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $19.42 |
| 08-11 01:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.991 | $588.65 |
| 07-26 07:02 | Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.911 | $9.11 |
| 07-24 14:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $243.29 |
| 07-24 14:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $207.12 |
| 07-24 14:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $2.0k |
| 07-23 00:48 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.941 | $659.64 |
| 07-01 07:28 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.968 | $96.80 |