0x8bb8723d3eee1a9cf446eae46df329cfa04d851c
0x8bb8723d3eee1a9cf446eae46df329cfa04d851c
- Realised P&L
- $-0.16
- Volume
- $260.95
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $1.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.015 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.010 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 27? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET · Down | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 27? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 27? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.01at 0.327Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$0.88at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
- +$0.85at 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
- +$0.75at 0.580Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
- +$0.32at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 18:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 18:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | BUY | 0.0269999993 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 18:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 27? | BUY | 0.0289999997 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 18:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 27? | BUY | 0.0188311686 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 17:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | SELL | 0.28 | $0.46 |
| 09-27 10:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $0.62 |
| 09-27 10:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $1.40 |