0x8Bb4985Ec53EB1F8aE79b7C6435C6b22D5dFd639-1744357272251
0x8bb4985ec53eb1f8ae79b7c6435c6b22d5dfd639
- Realised P&L
- $-309.95
- Volume
- $50.3k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $72.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$414.60at 0.141Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
- +$368.80at 0.325Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$185.31at 0.558Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$123.61at 0.376Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?
- +$106.35at 0.570Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 10:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $284.17 |
| 08-16 08:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1026887156 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 14:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5038529924 | $150.00 |
| 05-08 10:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $79.50 |
| 05-08 10:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $85.50 |
| 05-01 16:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $144.00 |
| 04-30 17:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999825 | $8.00 |
| 04-30 17:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $7.02 |
| 04-30 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999824 | $8.00 |
| 04-30 17:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $5.55 |
| 04-30 17:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999896 | $15.00 |
| 04-30 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $17.60 |
| 04-30 17:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999843 | $8.00 |
| 04-30 17:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4236139944 | $8.00 |
| 04-30 17:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.379999981 | $8.00 |