johndoe.jr
0x8bafddb33a8475dbf1f785f9cb733bcacc2ee747
- Realised P&L
- $139.31
- Volume
- $37.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.042 | $1.2k | −$221.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.39at 0.148Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?
- +$82.72at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26?
- +$28.50at 0.211Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 18?
- +$1.52at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6AM ET
- +$-0.32at 0.102Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0451377159 | $92.69 |
| 10-02 13:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $77.40 |
| 10-02 13:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.68 |
| 09-29 06:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $59.80 |
| 09-29 06:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $32.20 |
| 09-29 06:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $13.80 |
| 09-29 06:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $87.40 |
| 09-29 06:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $151.80 |
| 09-28 03:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $55.20 |
| 09-28 03:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.045 | $0.47 |
| 09-28 03:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.044 | $43.56 |
| 09-24 13:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.055 | $22.00 |
| 09-24 12:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.055 | $9.35 |
| 09-24 12:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.19 |
| 09-24 09:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.051 | $14.28 |