anothaonebitesthedust
0x8bace556530cf4ef1bc91e56efa0be429e8ecb3f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $287.3k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $6.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$371.23at 0.795Will Ryan Lin be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?
- +$209.23at 0.943Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?
- +$147.72at 0.901Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
- +$113.11at 0.914Maduro out in 2025?
- +$94.40at 0.933Will Gavin McKenna be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 00:06 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $95.00 |
| 08-01 00:05 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $233.35 |
| 08-01 00:03 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8889999998 | $400.00 |
| 07-30 05:05 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $497.74 |
| 07-18 08:27 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.912 | $100.95 |
| 07-16 12:42 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8405931526 | $200.00 |
| 07-16 10:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $500.00 |
| 07-16 10:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999979 | $150.00 |
| 07-16 10:15 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9726109556 | $200.00 |
| 07-16 10:15 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY | 0.9946319861 | $400.00 |
| 07-10 19:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.63 | $323.56 |
| 07-06 22:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $160.00 |
| 07-06 22:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $400.00 |
| 07-06 22:10 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.154 | $107.80 |
| 07-03 00:59 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999997 | $1.5k |