akroll
0x8bac34bb7b51b4d63b128eb711d76706efdc35ca
- Realised P&L
- $29.2k
- Volume
- $315.2k
- Markets traded
- 871
- Open portfolio
- $59.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded871
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.4kat 0.202Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$5.6kat 0.270Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$3.4kat 0.323Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$2.6kat 0.369Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$2.1kat 0.046Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 01:39 | Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.33 |
| 10-19 01:39 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.994 | $21.26 |
| 10-19 01:39 | Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.992 | $21.22 |
| 10-19 01:39 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.76 |
| 10-19 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.12 |
| 10-19 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.996 | $21.10 |
| 10-19 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.995 | $21.07 |
| 10-19 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.95 | $20.12 |
| 10-19 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.5476392823 | $11.60 |
| 10-19 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.93 | $19.70 |
| 10-19 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.16 |
| 10-19 00:23 | Will Republicans win white women in the midterms? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.92 |
| 10-19 00:06 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election? | BUY | 0.067 | $1.34 |
| 10-18 23:46 | Will T1 win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $87.66 |
| 10-18 23:46 | Will LYON win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $102.51 |