0x8ba200a558a3801495852cd1ab89f65231df40bf
0x8ba200a558a3801495852cd1ab89f65231df40bf
- Realised P&L
- $10.76
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $95.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.595 | $95.20 | −$45.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.09at 0.995Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15?
- +$2.47at 0.980Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
- +$2.10at 0.985MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
- +$1.50at 0.967Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$0.68at 0.993Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 13:26 | APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.88 | $10.56 |
| 05-26 13:26 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.978 | $143.77 |
| 05-02 01:27 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $141.85 |
| 03-31 05:14 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.985 | $137.90 |
| 03-31 05:14 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | SELL | 0.999 | $129.87 |
| 03-18 23:48 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.98 | $127.40 |
| 03-17 11:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 18? | BUY | 0.995 | $129.35 |
| 03-16 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 16? | BUY | 0.993 | $135.05 |
| 03-16 00:29 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15? | BUY | 0.995 | $129.35 |
| 03-15 09:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $130.95 |
| 03-15 00:28 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 57°F or below on March 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $132.60 |