RVGym
0x8b9e534054dfc23bbfaa32afadb7b389049e6838
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $476.0k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? · Yes | 0.822 | 0.810 | $2.5k | −$37.31 |
| Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.436 | 0.555 | $1.4k | +$302.81 |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? · No | 0.278 | 0.190 | $1.3k | −$600.72 |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? · Yes | 0.284 | 0.140 | $394.12 | −$405.87 |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.524 | 0.680 | $272.28 | +$62.28 |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.123 | $123.65 | −$56.34 |
| Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.377 | 0.455 | $23.54 | +$4.04 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.001 | $3.49 | −$96.51 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.420Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$2.4kat 0.554Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
- +$2.2kat 0.451Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?
- +$2.0kat 0.075Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$1.4kat 0.231Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:46 | Will Rodri join Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.7565569613 | $250.56 |
| 08-02 13:46 | Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.1261375296 | $386.10 |
| 07-27 12:49 | Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.0310829425 | $73.00 |
| 07-25 12:18 | Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.2807464155 | $200.00 |
| 07-24 15:38 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.9900006409 | $2.2k |
| 07-24 03:41 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0759999967 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 03:40 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0759999973 | $25.00 |
| 07-24 03:40 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0755356508 | $50.00 |
| 07-24 03:39 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0416868619 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 03:39 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0739999991 | $70.00 |
| 07-24 03:39 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0411733286 | $74.00 |
| 07-24 03:38 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.4185031653 | $596.96 |
| 07-22 19:54 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.5029999762 | $6.00 |
| 07-22 19:54 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.5029999989 | $200.00 |
| 07-22 11:07 | Will Rodri join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.484843649 | $100.00 |