PolyBot

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Traders

0xp1rate

0x8b9be83525d8358fb868cb34d98eff777b8b48f4

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$8.0k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$86.06

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar16.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0320.021$50.38−$28.62
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.0540.019$35.67−$64.98
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.9500.000$0.00−$22.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 10:18Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0329992652$44.91
09-24 10:16Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.032$21.81
09-24 10:15Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.031$3.76
09-24 10:15Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.029$8.53
07-08 10:57Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.043$47.98
07-08 10:56Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.042$8.40
07-08 10:54Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.042$2.39
06-13 19:36Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.95$22.79
06-12 21:25Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?SELL0.12$8.32
06-12 20:46Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5SELL0.99$14.64
06-12 20:24Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5BUY0.7$10.35
06-12 19:55Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?SELL0.13$10.84
06-12 15:20Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?BUY0.14$9.71
05-09 18:34Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.0829719691$41.88
03-01 07:48Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.998$1.6k