0x8b94396f0ad39ce5980933bddc173cd8194d23fb
- Realised P&L
- $11.98
- Volume
- $292.89
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $11.10
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$5.02at 0.292Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?
- +$4.38at 0.321Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$4.18at 0.331Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:03 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 11:57 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 03:29 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 19:16 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 11:16 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 03:11 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 19:11 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 09:33 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 00:37 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 10:51 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 21:08 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 23:09 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 00:39 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 13:58 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |