liuisnice
0x8b926bb0f6c792671c6c131eaf0f3b281478b10e
- Realised P&L
- $-41.89
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $369.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.36at 0.660Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?
- +$18.56at 0.842Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?
- +$12.38at 0.146Solana Up or Down - September 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$11.41at 0.200Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?
- +$10.12at 0.173Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:04 | Will Orlando Sanchez win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? | BUY | 0.1006132287 | $19.22 |
| 11-02 00:04 | Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? | BUY | 0.8557905806 | $163.46 |
| 11-01 03:21 | Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms? | SELL | 0.1656 | $20.70 |
| 11-01 02:23 | Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms? | SELL | 0.18 | $16.20 |
| 11-01 02:23 | Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms? | SELL | 0.7779661017 | $137.70 |
| 10-31 13:12 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad? | SELL | 0.015022 | $2.10 |
| 10-31 13:11 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad? | SELL | 0.9745628571 | $136.44 |
| 10-31 09:47 | Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $10.20 |
| 10-31 09:47 | Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $22.10 |
| 10-31 01:09 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.0521813943 | $7.31 |
| 10-31 01:09 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.842 | $117.88 |
| 10-30 14:13 | Will Republicans win white women in the midterms? | SELL | 0.27 | $44.01 |
| 10-30 14:13 | Will Democrats win white women in the midterms? | SELL | 0.7 | $114.10 |
| 10-29 11:07 | Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms? | BUY | 0.79 | $139.83 |
| 10-29 09:34 | Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms? | BUY | 0.14 | $30.10 |