0x8B9177D5D107F6606128d2B2dcD02bAa3d270768-1781780367296
0x8b9177d5d107f6606128d2b2dcd02baa3d270768
- Realised P&L
- $-15.11
- Volume
- $316.74
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $2.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.115 | $2.30 | −$2.10 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? · No | 0.994 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.94 |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.62at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
- +$2.57at 0.666Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
- +$1.85at 0.734Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$1.45at 0.711Honor of Kings: LGD NBW vs SYGaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group A
- +$1.39at 0.720Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs TOP Esports Armor (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group S
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 13:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7199998618 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 07:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 07:08 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 08-30 05:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 05:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6449180064 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 05:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 14:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8899998861 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 13:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5699998906 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 05:56 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.066 | $2.54 |
| 08-21 06:57 | Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.448 | $6.72 |
| 08-18 01:21 | Will "The Sin: Bliss" - ENHYPEN first week album sales be between 100k and 120k? | BUY | 0.41 | $6.15 |
| 08-17 12:26 | Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 08-14 09:35 | Honor of Kings: LGD NBW vs SYGaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group A | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 08-13 12:09 | Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs TOP Esports Armor (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group S | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |