0x8b904dCc9580890fE53bdF4b4a56e8d6cdEda590-1769261592103
0x8b904dcc9580890fe53bdf4b4a56e8d6cdeda590
- Realised P&L
- $-73.84
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $30.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)7.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? · Yes | 0.311 | 0.145 | $14.49 | −$16.62 |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.082 | $7.08 | +$1.52 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.155 | $6.28 | −$8.72 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.135 | $2.70 | +$1.10 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.12 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.13 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.44at 0.450US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$-0.69at 0.942Greece vs. Portugal
- +$-0.88at 0.971Greece vs. Portugal
- +$-1.00at 0.050US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
- +$-1.03at 0.092Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:43 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0349999669 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:40 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.404 | $0.20 |
| 07-19 17:33 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.412 | $0.85 |
| 07-19 13:16 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4089999901 | $21.17 |
| 07-08 18:28 | Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 07-08 18:27 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 07-08 18:26 | Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31? | BUY | 0.066 | $0.56 |
| 07-07 21:49 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 16:17 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 07-07 00:22 | Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31? | BUY | 0.0642545508 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 22:37 | Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 22:37 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BUY | 0.3707750728 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 22:37 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 22:02 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 00:02 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |