PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8b904dCc9580890fE53bdF4b4a56e8d6cdEda590-1769261592103

0x8b904dcc9580890fe53bdf4b4a56e8d6cdeda590

Realised P&L
$-73.84
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$30.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)7.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? · Yes0.3110.145$14.49$16.62
Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31? · Yes0.0640.082$7.08+$1.52
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? · Yes0.3700.155$6.28$8.72
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0800.135$2.70+$1.10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4090.000$0.00$20.12
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.13
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$1.00
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$2.40
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00$5.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 19:43Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0349999669$1.00
07-19 19:40Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.404$0.20
07-19 17:33Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.412$0.85
07-19 13:16Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4089999901$21.17
07-08 18:28Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.14$1.40
07-08 18:27Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.06$1.20
07-08 18:26Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?BUY0.066$0.56
07-07 21:49Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-07 16:17Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.08$1.60
07-07 00:22Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?BUY0.0642545508$5.00
07-05 22:37Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
07-05 22:37Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?BUY0.3707750728$5.00
07-05 22:37Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
07-05 22:02Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.01$1.00
07-04 00:02Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.001$1.00