Bet1nthedark
0x8b881cf08d3a53d3711d7ea85783b94738e55f5e
- Realised P&L
- $-30.8k
- Volume
- $2.32M
- Markets traded
- 273
- Open portfolio
- $108.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded273
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.6kat 0.366MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$7.0kat 0.822Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$6.3kat 0.727Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$2.9kat 0.988Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$2.7kat 0.725Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 05:38 | Israeli Knesset election annulled? | BUY | 0.9457115698 | $1.5k |
| 10-30 14:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9766890995 | $5.0k |
| 10-30 14:38 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.0k |
| 10-30 06:54 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9959999994 | $108.00 |
| 10-28 06:13 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999631 | $3.79 |
| 10-27 04:43 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999785 | $3.80 |
| 10-26 03:12 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999909 | $3.80 |
| 10-25 08:46 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999557 | $3.90 |
| 10-24 09:51 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999697 | $3.80 |
| 10-23 13:14 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999755 | $4.70 |
| 10-23 13:13 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | SELL | 0.953 | $4.76 |
| 10-23 07:57 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999557 | $3.90 |
| 10-22 05:24 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.80 |
| 10-21 07:59 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $44.80 |
| 10-18 06:52 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999999 | $2.0k |