PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8b86772f69d031eeed9f097557f9383dd494decb

Realised P&L
$46.72
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
371
Open portfolio
$45.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded371
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 19? · No0.8790.885$16.11+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 18? · No0.8431.000$9.49+$1.49
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 19? · No0.8350.855$8.19+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 20? · No0.9240.880$7.62$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 18? · No0.8901.000$4.49+$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 18? · No0.8840.001$0.01$15.99
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 10? · No0.6300.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 3? · No0.7050.000$0.00$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12? · No0.9300.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 4? · No0.8750.000$0.00$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 2? · No0.3610.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14? · No0.8490.000$0.00$8.00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 3? · No0.7600.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on September 6? · No0.6340.000$0.00$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 7? · No0.3600.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 01:58Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 19?BUY0.8899998064$4.00
09-18 23:22Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.9284911968$4.00
09-18 23:21Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.92$4.00
09-18 19:08Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 19?BUY0.8299999834$4.00
09-18 13:37Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 19?BUY0.88999998$4.00
09-18 12:34Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 18?BUY0.88999998$4.00
09-18 07:35Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.8$4.00
09-18 07:05Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 19?BUY0.91$4.00
09-18 06:33Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 18?BUY0.8$4.00
09-18 06:33Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.7899999802$4.00
09-18 04:27Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 18?BUY0.91$4.00
09-18 01:52Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 18?BUY0.92$4.00
09-18 01:52Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 18?BUY0.88999998$4.00
09-18 00:49Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.8199999836$4.00
09-17 23:47Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.84$4.00