PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8b82F7661B2Fc76E4EA3Bf2068f7582851bA2e22-1779363153127

0x8b82f7661b2fc76e4ea3bf2068f7582851ba2e22

Realised P&L
$-154.00
Volume
$30.1k
Markets traded
208
Open portfolio
$3.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded208
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0800.019$2.44$7.56
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0800.011$1.31$8.69
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$10.00
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00$70.00
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-17 13:12HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis ShapovalovBUY0.0085962348$1.00
06-17 12:33HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis ShapovalovBUY0.1399999888$10.00
06-17 12:09HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis ShapovalovBUY0.2122796887$70.00
06-17 11:48HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio BuseBUY0.02$2.00
06-17 11:23HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio BuseBUY0.06$3.00
06-17 11:13HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio BuseBUY0.0899999919$10.00
06-17 11:07HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio BuseBUY0.189999988$10.00
06-17 10:51Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor FritzBUY0.16$1.00
06-16 23:19Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?BUY0.079845345$10.00
06-16 20:41Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho ShimabukuroBUY0.3099999622$5.00
06-16 20:41HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio BuseBUY0.2853406043$65.00
06-16 19:13HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri LeheckaBUY0.1499998875$1.00
06-16 18:21HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri LeheckaBUY0.1799999755$5.00
06-16 17:20HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri LeheckaBUY0.3299999959$30.00
06-16 16:51HSBC Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Hamad MedjedovicBUY0.4099999959$30.00