0x8b82F7661B2Fc76E4EA3Bf2068f7582851bA2e22-1779363153127
0x8b82f7661b2fc76e4ea3bf2068f7582851ba2e22
- Realised P&L
- $-154.00
- Volume
- $30.1k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $3.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.019 | $2.44 | −$7.56 |
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.011 | $1.31 | −$8.69 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.83at 0.357Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur
- +$57.80at 0.351Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
- +$37.88at 0.195HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet
- +$37.11at 0.148Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
- +$35.19at 0.405HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 13:12 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov | BUY | 0.0085962348 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 12:33 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 12:09 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov | BUY | 0.2122796887 | $70.00 |
| 06-17 11:48 | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Buse | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 11:23 | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Buse | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 06-17 11:13 | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Buse | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 11:07 | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Buse | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 10:51 | Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 23:19 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.079845345 | $10.00 |
| 06-16 20:41 | Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 20:41 | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Buse | BUY | 0.2853406043 | $65.00 |
| 06-16 19:13 | HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 18:21 | HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 17:20 | HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka | BUY | 0.3299999959 | $30.00 |
| 06-16 16:51 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Hamad Medjedovic | BUY | 0.4099999959 | $30.00 |