keywordw
0x8b7a1bfd8083c9f0ec3a860cdf22b90363105746
- Realised P&L
- $12.75
- Volume
- $27.4k
- Markets traded
- 829
- Open portfolio
- $69.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded829
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.12at 0.369Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
- +$36.67at 0.120Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$30.62at 0.032Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 25?
- +$30.33at 0.090Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
- +$29.40at 0.020Will Trump say "Where is" 3+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:42 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0243902439 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:07 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4099999631 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4788865454 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4899999559 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 19:30 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 18:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.0555555556 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0555555556 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0610287145 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5399999676 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0571428571 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |