keywordw
0x8b7a1bfd8083c9f0ec3a860cdf22b90363105746
- Realised P&L
- $196.43
- Volume
- $41.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,747
- Open portfolio
- $205.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,747
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.12at 0.369Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
- +$39.81at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on April 23?
- +$36.67at 0.120Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$30.57at 0.033Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 25?
- +$30.33at 0.090Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5770344828 | $5.86 |
| 09-18 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7399999778 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 03:46 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6027667804 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 18:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 18:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.48 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5950413018 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2699999906 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.00 |