0x8b7532dEF9E942e2f887941b4A6683f50c67ad43-1780748537422
0x8b7532def9e942e2f887941b4a6683f50c67ad43
- Realised P&L
- $-156.31
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $23.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.25at 0.960Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
- +$4.40at 0.190Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP?
- +$2.35at 0.340Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
- +$0.40at 0.240Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 6%-9%?
- +$0.38at 0.120Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 06:17 | Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98? | SELL | 0.21 | $3.01 |
| 11-01 06:16 | Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.24 |
| 10-31 11:59 | Will "Spilled Milk" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 10-30 23:44 | Will Junts win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 10-30 20:43 | Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 10-29 16:00 | Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.35 |
| 10-29 16:00 | Will Vox win 61-65 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 10-29 02:14 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,800,000 and 2,950,000? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 10-28 21:00 | Will Shas be in the next Israeli government? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.47 |
| 10-28 20:55 | Will Shas be in the next Israeli government? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.81 |
| 10-28 15:12 | Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 10-27 17:36 | Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.32 |
| 10-27 17:34 | Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election? | SELL | 0.23 | $3.22 |
| 10-27 12:03 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 10-26 05:00 | Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.29 |