PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x8b6ea9584a779b583258f9a53735b4865c1a3f28

0x8b6ea9584a779b583258f9a53735b4865c1a3f28

Realised P&L
$-5.42
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$213.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6? · Yes0.5680.725$21.63+$4.67
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7? · Yes0.2680.365$16.39+$4.37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 6? · Yes0.2170.295$10.49+$2.77
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 6? · Yes0.4900.505$10.22+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 6? · Yes0.2330.245$8.43+$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 6? · Yes0.2900.425$8.41+$2.67
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 7? · Yes0.1500.245$6.53+$2.53
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 7? · Yes0.5840.645$5.96+$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 7? · Yes0.2800.255$5.17−$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 7? · Yes0.5200.515$5.15−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 7? · Yes0.5300.510$4.90−$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 7? · Yes0.4400.465$4.71+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 7? · Yes0.2190.250$4.69+$0.59
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 6? · Yes0.4400.455$4.55+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 7? · Yes0.3700.450$4.55+$0.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 17:51Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5?SELL0.41$13.59
10-05 17:39Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 7?BUY0.3499999901$3.54
10-05 17:30Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?BUY0.22$2.20
10-05 17:29Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 6?SELL0.06$0.75
10-05 17:29Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 6?SELL0.22$2.24
10-05 17:21Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?BUY0.22$2.20
10-05 17:08Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5?BUY0.7542136559$25.00
10-05 17:06Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 7?BUY0.52$5.20
10-05 17:06Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 6?SELL0.27$3.38
10-05 17:00Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 6?SELL0.0141002401$0.23
10-05 16:52Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 7?BUY0.0607210626$1.28
10-05 16:43Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 7?BUY0.2799999763$2.84
10-05 16:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?BUY0.1428571429$2.00
10-05 16:33Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 7?BUY0.2799999763$2.84
10-05 16:33Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 7?BUY0.3099999773$3.14