0x8b6ea9584a779b583258f9a53735b4865c1a3f28
0x8b6ea9584a779b583258f9a53735b4865c1a3f28
- Realised P&L
- $-5.42
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $213.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.63at 0.241Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 77°F or below on October 6?
- +$0.56at 0.186Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 6?
- +$0.09at 0.313Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 6?
- +$-0.06at 0.578Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 6?
- +$-0.11at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.41 | $13.59 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.3499999901 | $3.54 |
| 10-05 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 10-05 17:29 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 6? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.75 |
| 10-05 17:29 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 6? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.24 |
| 10-05 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 10-05 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.7542136559 | $25.00 |
| 10-05 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 10-05 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 6? | SELL | 0.27 | $3.38 |
| 10-05 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 6? | SELL | 0.0141002401 | $0.23 |
| 10-05 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.0607210626 | $1.28 |
| 10-05 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.2799999763 | $2.84 |
| 10-05 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.1428571429 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.2799999763 | $2.84 |
| 10-05 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.3099999773 | $3.14 |